Thursday, October 19, 2006

Trade Plan for 2006-10-19

Account Exposure: 50%
Cash Position: 50%

Momentum Watchlist

AAPL - after adding some shares after-market last night to my existing swing position, I'm looking to get some more of this if it can hold and remain above the latest buy point at $78.

RIMM - a few days of consolidation would do this stock goood. However, the price action from yesterday shows that there are some serious buyers for this stock. Buy point is when price clears $115.25

NIHD - maybe forming the HANDLE and could trade within the range until earnings announcement which would be next week.

GENZ - the drop after the earning announcement was concerning but the latest price action shows that strong hands are buying this stock. Buy point when price clears a major resistance at $71 area

FMD - high tight flag is forming after a big run-up. Buy point to add to my existing swing position is when price clears $71.70

CMI - nice looking flag after a big run-up indicates more upside potential for this stock. Buy point at $139 was triggered but move is sluggish

CMG - price is consolidating in a flag pattern after strong breakout from downtrend channel. Buy point at $58 as price clears the top of the consolidation

MTH - despite all the hoopla about the housing bubble, house/construction stock has been fairing better. This would could be forming the right side of a cup and handle base. Buy point is when price clears $48

VIP - High tight formation after run-up indicates more upside momentum is in the works. Buy point is when price clears $64 on a strong volume

Swing Watchlist

Long: none

Dummy Watchlist

Long: none
Short: HCR

Market Observations
  • Latest price action for OIL SECTOR and OIL WELL SERVICES suggest that a possible bottom could be in place
  • Ditto for HOME BUILDERS

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